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Live Prediction-Market Probabilities — Most Active Markets (24h)
What the market is pricing right now: the most actively traded prediction markets over the last 24 hours, with the leading outcome and its implied probability. Updated at every build — free to cite, please credit The Forecast Verdict and link back.
How to read this board
Each row is a live market: the leading outcome and the crowd-implied probability (the market price), with 24-hour trading volume. These are aggregated market prices, not our forecasts.
Source: Polymarket Gamma API · updated 2026-06-25 11:33 UTC
| Market | Leading outcome | Implied probability | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 64% | $6.0M |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 52% | $3.1M |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95% | $2.8M |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 51% | $2.4M |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 85% | $2.3M |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94% | $1.9M |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 91% | $1.8M |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100% | $9.4M |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100% | $8.5M |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100% | $7.2M |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100% | $5.1M |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98% | $5.0M |
FAQ
How often does this update?
At every rebuild, from the public Polymarket data feed.
Can I cite or embed this board?
Yes — please credit The Forecast Verdict and link back to this page.